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A Referendum on Trump? Democrats Notch Local Election Victories
On the surface, the November 4, 2025 elections appeared as a clear-cut Democratic victory, but beneath this seemingly straightforward narrative lies a considerably more intricate map of political dynamics.

The Entente Foundation
Nov 196 min read


Can a simple median-based polling method predict the next U.S. president?
In the high-stakes arena of U.S. presidential elections, swing states often decide the outcome – but how reliable are traditional polling averages?

The Entente Foundation
Jul 163 min read


NEW RELEASE: «Who Predicted Trump's Victory?». A Comparative Analysis of Methodological Frameworks in U.S. Presidential Election Forecasting
In 2016, Donald Trump’s ascension to the presidency defied the expectations of virtually all major polling institutions, upending the...

The Entente Foundation
Jun 131 min read


How successful are the states to choose the President? Bellwether States to forecast election.
«Bellwether States» is another method of forecasting presidential elections. What are the 2024 outcomes and its future?

The Entente Foundation
Feb 212 min read


Foreign assistance, Chinese rise and what USAID has to do with it
The essential to learn about American foreign aid «en pendant» the USAID scandal is more about the state of “battleground” . American...

The Entente Foundation
Feb 193 min read


Is your ‹‹Power›› still ‹‹Soft››? Introduction to American foreign influence.
Future trends of the U.S. soft power. The reflection of historical context on today's Trump's initiatives.

The Entente Foundation
Feb 164 min read


Supreme Court vacancy and NYC dilemma. Polymarket and Political Science
As practice has shown, polling on these platforms have demonstrated greater accuracy in reflecting public sentiment. It's exciting to follow

The Entente Foundation
Feb 146 min read


Is Something Wrong with American Political System?
"I have a lot issues to discuss but there is no other way for them to appear ahead of the basic topic — what is going on in the U.S....

Arsenii Kanidev
Feb 11 min read


Federalist Papers: Loyalty, Dependence and the Constitutions of the modern U.S. states.
We are heading towards the new American Studies Index. As the part of our first structured project, we are working on the implementing...

The Entente Foundation
Jan 241 min read
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