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A Referendum on Trump? Democrats Notch Local Election Victories
On the surface, the November 4, 2025 elections appeared as a clear-cut Democratic victory, but beneath this seemingly straightforward narrative lies a considerably more intricate map of political dynamics.
The Entente Foundation
Nov 19, 20256 min read
Can a simple median-based polling method predict the next U.S. president?
In the high-stakes arena of U.S. presidential elections, swing states often decide the outcome – but how reliable are traditional polling averages?
The Entente Foundation
Jul 16, 20253 min read
NEW RELEASE: «Who Predicted Trump's Victory?». A Comparative Analysis of Methodological Frameworks in U.S. Presidential Election Forecasting
In 2016, Donald Trump’s ascension to the presidency defied the expectations of virtually all major polling institutions, upending the...
The Entente Foundation
Jun 13, 20251 min read
How successful are the states to choose the President? Bellwether States to forecast election.
«Bellwether States» is another method of forecasting presidential elections. What are the 2024 outcomes and its future?
The Entente Foundation
Feb 21, 20252 min read
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